Beyond Structured Settlements

Structured Settlement Sales Decline in 2012

Sales of structured settlement annuities totaled $4,819,124,617 during 2012 (down from $4,974,710,838 in 2011) as reported today by Melissa Evola in her quarterly summary of United States structured settlement annuity provider premium.

The 2012 U.S. structured settlement annual premium total represents the lowest amount since 1999 based upon historic reporting in "Structured Settlement and Periodic Payment Judgments" (S2P2J) and more recent reports by Evola. According to these same sources:

• Annual structured settlement annuity premium reached an historic high in 2008 ($6,226,578,725) after consistently averaging close to $6 billion annually from 2001-2007.
• Total historic structured settlement premium written from 1975 through 2012 approximates $134 billion. Note: for historic annual totals, see the structured settlement wiki.

Evola's report documents substantial increases and decreases of annual premium among the 12 annuity providers who participated in the U.S. structured settlement market during 2012 compared with 2011.

The following annuity provider list summarizes 2012 data from Evola's most recent report and indicates approximate market percentages (in parentheses), annual premium and the premium increase (+) or decrease (-) from 2011.

• Pacific Life (17%)
  • Premium:  $837,053,958
  • + $266,494,958
• Berkshire Hathway (17%)
  • Premium:  $824,962,720
  • + $708,504,475
• MetLife (14%)
  • Premium:  $664,000,000
  • - $433,000,000
• Prudential Life (13%)
  • Premium:  $635,400,000
  • - $386,900,000
• Amgen/AI Life (11%)
  • Premium:  $526,088,761
  • - $18,613,212
• Liberty Life (9%)
  • Premium:  $410,854,349
  • + $51,007,955
• New York Life (7%)
  • Premium:  $322,734,527
  • - $49,650,217
• John Hancock Life (6%)
  • Premium:  $304,328,594
  • - $140,061,704
• Allstate Life (3%)
  • Premium:  $140,406,198
  • - $159,295,775
• Symetra Life (2%)
  • Premium:  $79,677,226
  • - $31,088,922
• Mutual of Omaha (1%)
  • Premium:  $57,593,264
  • + $33,284,297
• Hartford Life (0.3%)
  • Premium:  $16,025,020
  • + $3,317,579

Additional noteworthy statistics from Evola's report: while total structured settlement cases written during 2012 declined to 25,038 (from 28,811 in 2011), the average 2012 premium per case increased to $192,472 (compared with $172,667 in 2011).

Interest Rate Impact

Many U.S. structured settlement industry participants attribute declining sales to low interest rates including future forecasts by the Federal Reserve. Market yields on U.S. Treasury securities at 30 year constant maturity peaked at 13.45 percent in 1981. Here are several historic average annual rates for 30 year Treasury securities (source: U.S. Department of the Treasury):

• 2013 (as of 2/15/13) - 3.18%
• 2012 - 2.93%
• 2011 - 3.91%
• 2010 - 4.25%
• 2009 - 4.08%
• 2008 - 4.28%
• 2007 - 4.84%
• 2000 - 5.94%
• 1990 - 8.61%
• 1980 - 11.27%

Structured Settlements in 2012 - 1

The U.S. structured settlement industry in 2012 increasingly defined itself into three related markets (the primary, secondary and settlement planning markets) with the liquidation of Executive Life Insurance Company of New York (ELNY) representing the dominant industry storyline.

This blog post highlights 2012 non-ELNY structured settlement developments for the primary market. Subsequent S2KM blog posts will highlight structured settlement developments for the 2) settlement planning and 3) structured settlement secondary markets and summarize 4) ELNY-related events.

Primary Market

The primary structured settlement market in 2012 was characterized by continuing sales declines including the departure of two annuity providers (Hartford and Symetra). As reported by Melissa Evola and "Structured Settlements and Periodic Payment Judgments" (S2P2J), annual structured settlement annuity premium reached an historic high in 2008 ($6,226,578,725) after consistently averaging close to $6 billion annually from 2001-2007.

The 2011 structured settlement annuity premium total of $4,974,710,838 represented an approximate 10 percent decline from 2010 and an approximate 20 percent decline from 2008. And based upon reported third quarter 2012 numbers, this year's structured settlement annuity numbers could be even lower.

Through the end of September 2012, reported nine month structured settlement annuity premium totaled $3,570,584,333 compared with 2011 ($3,638,466,321) and 2008 ($4,429,915,586) figures for similar nine month results. The comparable nine month case totals for these years: 2012 (18,701 cases); 2011 (21,846 cases); and 2008 (25,545 cases).

Many structured settlement industry participants attribute declining sales to low interest rates including future forecasts by the Federal Reserve. Market yields on U.S. Treasury securities at 30 year constant maturity peaked at 13.45 percent in 1981. Here are several historic average annual rates for 30 year Treasury securities (source: U.S. Department of the Treasury):

• 2012 (as of December 21) - 2.93%
• 2011 - 3.91%
• 2010 - 4.25%
• 2009 - 4.08%
• 2008 - 4.28%
• 2007 - 4.84%
• 2000 - 5.94%
• 1990 - 8.61%
• 1980 - 11.27%

Critics of the primary structured settlement market attribute the continuing sales decline to a broader set of factors. For example, speaking at the 2012 National Association of Settlement Purchasers (NASP) conference, Mark Wahlstrom described 2012 as "another bad year for the primary market". He characterized declines in primary market annuity premium as a "negative trend that will eventually impact the secondary market" and identified the following causes:

• The structured settlement is an insular, closed community with aging leadership and a shrinking sales force.
• Structured settlement annuity providers, and most brokers, lack marketing and innovation skills.
• Primary market participants are intimidated by the Internet.
• Instead of offering customer solutions, the primary market continues to sell a single product.
• With historically low interest rates, that product produces a zero return when you consider inflation.
• The primary market has not responded strategically to tort reform and increasing competition from other professionals.
• By continuing their "factoring wars", the primary market has missed opportunities to cooperate with the secondary market.
• The ELNY liquidation means the primary market can no longer claim all structured settlement recipients have received 100% of their payments.

Perhaps the most positive 2012 development for the primary structured settlement industry was the remarkable business turnaround of American International Group, Inc. (AIG). Four years following its $182 billion financial bailout of AIG, the United States Department of Treasury and the Federal Reserve sold almost all of their remaining AIG ownership interest during 2012, which at one time reached 92 percent, and achieved a net positive investment return of $22.7 billion.

AIG's significant role in the U.S. structured settlement market, and the impact of AIG's 2008 financial collapse, are apparent from annual AIG structured settlement annuity premium results (compiled by Melissa Evola) with AIG's estimated annual share of the U.S. structured settlement annuity market in parentheses.

• 2002 - $1.179 billion (19%)
• 2003 - $1.195 billion (20%)
• 2004 - $1.221 billion (20%)
• 2005 - $1.316 billion (21%)
• 2006 - $1.463 billion (24%)
• 2007 - $1.468 billion (24%)
• 2008 - $1.454 billion (23%)
• 2009 - $0.429 billion (8%)
• 2010 - $0.499 billion (9%)
• 2011 - $0.395 billion (11%)

For the first three quarters of 2012, based upon Evola's reporting, AIG (Amgen/AILife) sold $409,213,518 of total structured settlement premium representing 11 percent of total U.S. structured settlement annuity premium ($3,570,584,333) for the same period. 

Additional post in S2KM's blog series: "Structured Settlements in 2012":

• Part 1 - Primary market

• Part 2 - Settlement planning

• Part 3 - Secondary market

• Part 4 - Executive Life of New York

AIG Bailout Ends

Four years following its $182 billion financial bailout of American International Group, Inc. (AIG), the United States Department of Treasury (Treasury) and the Federal Reserve have now sold almost all of their remaining AIG ownership interest, which at one time reached 92 percent, and have achieved a net positive investment return of $22.7 billion.

This remarkable result was achieved today when the Treasury announced the sale of 234 million common shares at $32.50 per share, the same price it received for a similar sale in September 2012.

For details about the most recent sale plus an historical perspective on AIG's recovery, see this Bloomberg News article posted on "New Jersey Business".

AIG Structured Settlements

AIG's significant role in the U.S. structured settlement market, and the impact of AIG's 2008 financial collapse, are apparent from annual AIG structured settlement annuity premium results compiled by Melissa Evola - with AIG's estimated annual share of the U.S. structured settlement annuity market in parentheses.

• 2002 - $1.179 billion (19%)
• 2003 - $1.195 billion (20%)
• 2004 - $1.221 billion (20%)
• 2005 - $1.316 billion (21%)
• 2006 - $1.463 billion (24%)
• 2007 - $1.468 billion (24%)
• 2008 - $1.454 billion (23%)
• 2009 - $0.429 billion (8%)
• 2010 - $0.499 billion (9%)
• 2011 - $0.395 billion (11%)

For the first three quarters of 2012, based upon Evola's reporting, AIG (Amgen/AILife) sold $409,213,518 of total structured settlement premium representing 11 percent of total U.S. structured settlement annuity premium ($3,570,584,333) for the same period.

Within those totals, AIG sold "non-qualified"(tax deferred) structured settlement annuity premium of $35,406,499 representing 25 percent of the total non-qualified structured settlement annuity premium ($143,480,280).

For estimated annual structured settlement annuity premium (1975-2011), see the structured settlement wiki.

Structured Settlement Sales Decline

Compared with prior years, total United States structured settlement annuity premium dropped sharply in 2011 to $4,974,710,838 according to a newly released report by Melissa Evola. Evola, President of Structured Financial Associates, Inc., has tracked structured settlement industry sales since 2002 based upon input from life insurance companies that participate in the structured settlement market.

The 2011 structured settlement annuity premium total represents an approximate 10 percent decline from 2010 and an approximate 20 percent decline from 2008. Evola's report further indicates 28,811 structured settlement annuities were sold during 2011 for an average per case premium of $172,667.

Based upon Evola's report, MetLife and Prudential Life were the leading structured settlement annuity providers in 2011. Their combined structured settlement premium of $2,119,300,000 represented approximately 43 percent of total 2011 U.S. structured settlement sales. According to Evola's report, 12 life insurance companies comprised the U.S. structured settlement market in 2011 compared with 22 companies in 2002.

Evola's report also tracks "non-qualified" structured settlement sales which are included in her total structured settlement premium figures. Structured settlements that are non-qualified [under IRC sections 130 and 104(a)(2)] are utilized to defer future payments from immediate income tax. Only two annuity providers currently offer this product. Total non-qualified structured settlement annuity premium in 2011 was $119,513,424, according to Evola's report, compared with $123,532,247 in 2010 and an historic high of $192,501,540 in 2008.

Historic annual U.S. structured settlement annuity premium - as reported by Evola:

• 2011 - $4,974,710,838
• 2010 - $5,524,359,408
• 2009 - $5,383,998,395
• 2008 - $6,226,578,725
• 2007 - $5,998,277,764
• 2006 - $6,111,583,112
• 2005 - $6,125,251,601
• 2004 - $6,135,000,000
• 2003 - $5,965,000,000
• 2002 - $6,142,000,000

For estimated structured settlement annuity sales estimates from 1975-2011, see the structured settlement wiki which features estimates from the authors of "Structured Settlements and Periodic Payment Judgments" (S2P2J) based upon historical input from industry sources including Evola since 2002.

Many structured settlement industry participants attribute declining sales to low interest rates including future forecasts by the Federal Reserve. Market yields on U.S. Treasury securities at 30 year constant maturity peaked at 13.45 percent in 1981 according to reports published by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Here are several historic average annual rates for 30 year Treasury securities based upon the same information source:

• 2011 - 3.91%
• 2010 - 4.25%
• 2009 - 4.08%
• 2008 - 4.28%
• 2007 - 4.84%
• 2000 - 5.94%
• 1990 - 8.61%
• 1980 - 11.27%

Although interest rates represent an important investment consideration, they impact all investment products not just structured settlement annuities. Regardless of interest rates, many other factors, such as mortality risk transfer and relative financial security, favor structured settlement annuities as the core settlement planning product for many personal physical injury victims. For additional information about structured settlement product suitability standards, see the structured settlement wiki.

Structured Settlements in 2011 - 3

Prior S2KM 2011 year-end structured settlement blog posts have highlighted the historic significance of the ELNY liquidation and provided a strategic 2011 industry retrospective . This blog post summarizes additional important 2011 structured settlement developments and information.

Taxation

• IRS Audit Guides - The Internal Revenue Service published an Audit Guide in 2011 to assist its examiners in determining the tax treatment of proceeds from lawsuits, settlements and awards received after August 21, 1996. That date marked the enactment of the Small Business Job Protection Act of 1996 which added a "physical" requirement to IRC § 104(a)(2). The IRS had previously published an Audit Guide to assist its examiners in determining whether the IRC §5891 excise tax applies to specific structured settlement factoring transactions.
• JTC Structured Settlement Estimate - The Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) in 2011 released its Estimates of Federal Tax Expenditures for Fiscal Years 2010-2014 (JCT Report). For the first time, the JCT Report calculated an estimated tax revenue loss for the "exclusion of investment income from structured settlement arrangements". The JCT estimate projected structured settlement tax revenue loss to be "de minimis" - meaning less that $50 million for Fiscal Years 2010-2014 or less than $12.5 million per year.

Government Benefits

• Medicare Secondary Payer Protocol - Although no statutory or regulatory authority requires Medicare set-aside arrangements (MSAs) in third party liability settlements, confusion continues as to whether and when MSAs are necessary and/or appropriate for such cases. On May 6, 2011, the United States Attorney's Office for the Western District of New York (USAOWDNY) released a one page "Medicare Secondary Payer Protocol" (MSP Protocol) establishing a voluntary process by which that U.S. Attorney's Office will review MSA proposals for liability cases provided certain conditions are met.

• U.S. v. Stricker - In this case involving periodic payments and the MSP Act, a U.S. District Court in Alabama denied a motion by the U.S. Government to reconsider the court's earlier dismissal based upon its finding that the applicable statutes of limitations barred the Government's complaint. The Government had argued on appeal that the court erred in granting its motions to dismiss without considering the Government's theory of continuing accrual argument.

• WCMSA portal - The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) announced the creation of an Internet portal for submission of workers compensation MSA (WCMSA) proposals. The new web-based application:
  • Enables WCMSA proposals to be submitted electronically for CMS review;
  • Accepts submission documents and supplemental information CMS may request;
  • Provides online status updates for MSA applications;
  • Generates email alerts when approval letters are issued.
• Conditional payment guidelines - CMS released guidelines during 2011 to provide certainty and finality for conditional Medicare payments. This "self-calculated final conditional payment amount" option, will be initiated in February 2012 for claims with a total settlement value of $25,000 or less allowing attorneys and/or claimants to receive a final amount owed number from CMS prior to settlements. For additional information see the Medicare Secondary Payer Recovery Contractor (MSPRC) website.

Minors Settlements - Whether a structured settlement annuity that extends beyond the age of majority is "suitable" for, or in the "best interests" of, a minor (especially a minor without a debilitating injury) represents an important industry issue. In his 2009 presentation to the Society of Settlement Planners (SSP) titled "What Judges Look for When Approving a Minor's Settlement", Texas attorney Phillip McCrury surveyed state minors' statutes and concluded many states require judges to consider the "best interest" of a minor even though very few states directly address structured settlement annuities. Two 2011 cases (only one involving a structured settlement) highlight the potential for conflicting judicial interpretations when annuities are part of a proposed minor's settlement.

• Hancock v. Share - A Florida Appellate Court reversed a Florida Trial Court ruling that denied approval of a proposed structured settlement for a minor. Although the trial court had found that the proposed structured settlement was in the "best interests" of the minor, it refused to approve the structured settlement citing a Florida statute that prohibits a guardian "to bind the assets" of a minor beyond the age of majority.
• In the Matter of Sandra McDuffie - A New York trial court ruled against an estate administrator who proposed to purchase an annuity for a minor child of the decedent stating "the Court cannot authorize the administrator to restrict funds due to an infant after the infant has reached the age of [majority]".

Executive Life Insurance Company of California - In a legal dispute (Aurora S.A. v. Poizner) which it characterized as "another aspect of the dizzyingly complex and heavily litigated failure of the Executive Life Insurance Company", a California Court of Appeals on August 8, 2011 upheld a trial court decision that California's Insurance Commissioner correctly declined to approve the proposed sale of Aurora National Life Assurance Company (Aurora) by Aurora S.A. to Reassure America Life Insurance Company (REALIC), a Swiss Reinsurance subsidiary.

Structured Settlement Annuity Sales - S2KM acknowledges and appreciates receiving market recap reports highlighting quarterly structured settlement annuity sales (Melissa Evola) and weekly financial market data (Richard Nahill).

• Annuity sales - Evola's most recent quarterly compilation of 2011 structured settlement annuity sales (thru September 30) indicates 21,846 cases have been structured for a total premium of $3,633,489,474. These numbers represent a significant decrease from 2010 (also thru September 30) of 23,578 cases and $4,140,704,642 of premium.
• Interest rates - Nahill's most recent 2011 financial market recap (for week ending December 16) shows interest rates of 1.86 percent for 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds compared with 3.30 percent as of December 31, 2010.

For prior S2KM annual reports summaring structured settlement industry developments, see the structured settlement wiki.

Structured Settlement Metrics - 3

A 2011 National Litigation Management study sponsored by the Council on Litigation Management (CLM):

• Identified structured settlement as the "most penetrated external initiative" among 30 litigation-related service areas analyzed based upon interviews with leading litigation management executives;
• Determined that more than 74 percent of the study's participants rated their available litigation management metrics as "Fair" or worse for measuring the effectiveness of their litigation management programs; and
• Concluded that, to be successful, national litigation management service programs must deliver metrics and analytics that justify the quality, performance, and satisfaction levels litigation management executives are seeking.

What metrics and analytics should litigation management executives utilize to justify and evaluate their structured settlement programs?

In two prior blog posts, S2KM summarized findings from CLM's Litigation Management study and highlighted historic justifications, characteristics and metrics for defense structured settlement programs. This blog post and two subsequent posts will examine historic structured settlement performance analytics and discuss those analytics in the context of the "quality, performance and satisfaction levels" litigation management executives should be seeking.

Recognizing no official or accepted industry records exist for total historic structured settlement annuities written and/or annuity payment rights transferred, S2KM offers the following estimates based upon industry input and sources including "Structured Settlements and Periodic Payment Judgments" (S2P2J), Melissa Evola's primary market compilations, and DBRS' June 8, 2011 Pre-Sale Report for J.G. Wentworth's Fixed Rate Asset-Backed Notes Series 2011-1:

• Primary market (1976-2010)
  • Total annuities written: 716,500
  • Total Premium: $124 billion
• Secondary market (1986-2010)
  • Total number of annuity (or partial annuity) transfers: 98,300
  • Total recipients who have sold payment rights: 65,600
  • Total aggregate payment streams purchased: $7.5 billion

S2KM welcomes continuing industry input and reserves the right to revise these estimates and/or future estimates based upon industry input.

Regardless of how many structured settlement annuities have been written, or transferred, or how much structured settlement annuity premium has been generated, or payment streams purchased, the key issue for evaluating the "quality" of structured settlements concerns structured settlement payout performance. Most specifically, how many annuity-funded structured settlement recipients or transferees have or have not received 100% of their promised periodic payments?

For annuity funded structured settlements, the payout performance to date has been excellent though not perfect. Overall, even when structured settlement annuity providers such as Confederation Life, Monarch Life and Capital Life have entered receivership, the protections provided by state life and health guaranty associations have proven to be an important safety net - at least for the purchaser/obligors and original structured settlement recipients.

The only exception to date, of which S2KM is aware, for some annuity-funded structured settlement recipients not receiving 100% of their promised periodic payments is Executive Life Insurance Company of California (ELIC) which became insolvent in 1991 and involved approximately 5500 structured settlement annuities as well as many other life insurance products. Note also, however:

• New York's Insurance Superintendent has petitioned for Executive Life Insurance Company of New York (ELNY), to enter liquidation and undergo restructuring. Although all ELNY structured settlement annuities have been paid in full to date, the exact impact of the ELNY liquidation and restructuring plan on individual structured settlement payees and transferees will not be known at least until the state life and health guaranty associations finalize the amount of their ELNY contributions.
• The DBRS report cited above indicates that J.G. Wentworth, and/or investors of J.G. Wentworth's securitized structured settlement payment rights, have suffered losses of 0.11% from the 59,000 transactions J.G. Wentworth has consummated since 1995 without identifying the specific source of these losses.

Selected highlights from ELIC's receivership and rehabilitation plan - Sources: Sections 3.05[10] of "Structured Settlements and Periodic Payment Judgements" (S2P2J) and the structured settlement wiki.

• Beginning in 1991, California insurance regulators and courts addressed the 5,500 structured settlement annuities issued by ELIC in a series of actions, stretching over two years and culminating in the sale of ELIC in late 1993.
• During this time, most structured settlement recipients received 70% of their scheduled periodic payments. The supervising Los Angeles Superior Court permitted approximately 600 “hardship” claimants to petition for and receive continuation of full scheduled payments.
• Recipients who experienced a 30% shortfall were of two categories: assigned and non-assigned cases. Approximately 800 ELIC structured settlement recipients had agreed to a qualified assignment using ELIC's parent, First Executive Corporation (FEC), as assignee. FEC entered bankruptcy in 1991.
• For the 4700 ELIC structured settlement recipients who had not agreed to a qualified assignment, the original obligor (defendant or liability insurer) continued to be liable. Many of these original obligors made direct arrangements with individual ELIC structured settlement recipients to pay the 30% difference. Others waited until the overall shortfall could be determined.
• In 1993, the supervising court approved an ELIC sales agreement and rehabilitation plan under which a newly formed company, Aurora National Life Assurance Company, Inc. (Aurora) assumed ELIC's structured settlement obligations.
• ELIC's former policyholders and structured settlement recipients were given the opportunity to either opt out of the rehabilitation plan and receive the liquidation value of their existing ELIC contracts or opt in to a new restructured contract with Aurora.
• Structured settlement recipients choosing to opt out of the Aurora plan were promised a cash payment of 56% of their ELIC annuity's value when ELIC became insolvent (without any state guaranty association enhancement) plus subsequent payments depending upon future events which could provide an additional estimated 28% of their annuity value.
• The other choice was to accept a revised annuity from Aurora which for most former ELIC structured settlement payees would be enhanced by payments from state life and health guaranty funds. Most of the former ELIC structured settlement payees who selected this option (approximately 4000) received 100% of the value of their ELIC policies plus 5.34% interest for past shortfalls.
• For the remaining 1500 ELIC structured settlement payees (including Aurora opt outs) shortfalls, which S2P2J's authors originally estimated to average 10%, exist.
• The future (post 1994) enhancements for former ELIC structured settlement payees, however, received an unexpected bonus source in 1998 when an anonymous whistle-blower alleged that Crédit Lyonnais was the real buyer of ELIC and controlled Aurora through secret agreements. Because banks were prohibited from owning U.S. insurance companies in 1993, the California Insurance Department sued Credit Lyonnais and other parties alleging violations of the federal Bank Holding Company Act, the California Insurance Code and other California statutes.
• The results of these lawsuits:
  • A 2003 settlement with Credit Lyonnais for $730.5 million of which $211 million was distributed to opt out policyholders and former structured settlement payees and $403 million to Aurora to supplement payments for opt in policyholders and continuing structured settlement payees; and
  • A 2005 verdict against the other defendants including $700 million in punitive damages which awaits retrial following appeal and remand on the issue of damages.

The Executive Life insolvencies, both of which originated in 1991, represent exceptions that prove the rule: the payout record ("quality" metric) of structured settlement annuities has been excellent - based upon the performance record of annuity providers who have issued an S2KM-estimated 716,500 structured settlement annuities since 1976.

The quality of structured settlement annuities was further highlighted during the 2011 Annual Meeting of the National Structured Settlement Trade Association (NSSTA) by:

• Jim Morris, Chairman, President, and CEO of Pacific Life Insurance Company, who accentuated the current financial strength of U.S. life insurance companies and explained why structured settlement annuities represent an excellent strategic product for life companies; and
• Thomas Ronce, a member of the NOLHGA Board of Directors, who highlighted lessons learned and industry improvements resulting from the Executive Life experience:
  • Risk-based capital testing - more sophisticated systems to measure insurance and investment risk in life insurers.
  • Coordinated, sophisticated, national regulatory consultation for troubled companies doing business nationally.
  • Skilled, professional leadership and stakeholder participation in the processes to resolve insolvencies of nationally significant insurers.

For S2KM's complete reporting and analysis about: 1) Executive Life and 2) structured settlement metrics, see the structured settlement wiki.